India’s path to Super Eight is very difficult
In their loss to an exuberant and bold Bangladesh side, the Indian team (flat and knotted up with tension) created possibly the worst possible scenario for themselves in Group B!
Looking at the remaining matches in the group, one cannot help but notice that India’s path to the next round has become difficult… almost impossible! Lets look at a probable scenario with the following results…
India beat Bermuda
Sri Lanka beat Bangladesh
India beat Sri Lanka
Bangladesh beat Bermuda
This would result in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and India having 4 points each. But Bangladesh, having beaten India, would be placed above India in the points table. And all would come down to winning margins. For India to be able to qualify for the Super Eights stage, Sri Lanka would need to beat Bangladesh by a narrow margin and India would need beat Sri Lanka by a huge margin. And even this scenario assumes that India beat Bermuda by an obscene margin!
Just going through the above scenario makes it pretty much clear that the probability of it panning out as described is quite low. Given the form they showed against Bangladesh, the assumption that India would beat Sri Lanka (by any sort of margin) requires a big leap of faith! Also, given the form that Sri Lanka are in, it may happen that they beat Bangladesh by a comfortable margin.
Whew! … India has really painted itself into a corner! And they not only need to play like tigers to get out of that corner, but also keep hoping that other matches follow a pattern favourable for them! An absolutely rare case of ability and hope converging!
But then… as they say… if you believe in something hard enough, the entire universe will conspire to make it happen!
[cross-posted at One-Day Mataram]
6 comments
realy man india is in a troubled position…worst of my dreams have come true!!
i just wish they dont end up like pakistan…
aakriti>> It will take extraordinary performances and extraordinary luck to see India through to the Super 8 stage!
Dreams!
India making to the Super8 phase is a dream now. But I tell you the most two matches would be very exciting even if India can’t make it to the next level, you bet!
But I believe, India will strike back. Let’s hope it does.
Kathmandu Speaks>> Yes. But Bangladesh and Ireland dreamed too! And look how their dreams turned into reality! :D
There is too much money riding on India doing well at the world cup. Now that Bermuda has gone back to being half pants for us again, the corporate matrix is conniving “convince” the Bangladeshis and Sri Lankans to give in to the mighty dollar.
It should be fun. But moneymaking, especially at the expense of pop patriotism, always is. Or not?
Just my two paisas.
It’s a shame what happened to Bangladesh. I hope the world steps up and helps them.
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